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GTA Real Estate Market & Economic Update – April 2025

GTA Real Estate Market & Economic Update – April 2025

As the spring market blooms, so does anticipation around interest rates, economic policy, and buyer sentiment. The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) real estate scene in April 2025 delivered mixed signals, highlighting both growing inventory and cautious buyer behaviour. Let’s break down the numbers and what they mean for the months ahead.

The April 2025 housing market in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) reflects a cautious but opportunity-rich environment. With higher inventory levels, price adjustments, and strong economic fundamentals in Canada compared to the U.S., buyers are in a position to negotiate, while sellers are recalibrating their expectations.

🇨🇦 Canadian vs. 🇺🇸 U.S. Economic Comparison

Indicator Canada United States
Overnight Rate 2.8%¹ 4.33%
Real GDP Growth (QoQ annualized) 6.09%¹ 0.5%²
Inflation (CPI YoY) 6.54%¹ 3.5%²
Employment Growth (Toronto) 6.49%¹ N/A
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate ~5.9% 6.89%³

Key Takeaway: Canada's economy shows strong GDP and job growth, although inflation remains elevated. In contrast, the U.S. faces slower growth and higher mortgage rates, indicating stronger economic momentum north of the border—but with continued affordability concerns.

TRREB-Wide Market Summary – April 2025

Metric April 2025 April 2024 % Change
Home Sales 5,601 7,302 🔻 23.3%
Average Selling Price $1,107,463 $1,155,219 🔻 4.1%
New Listings 18,836 17,418 🔺 8.1%
Active Listings 27,386 17,783 🔺 54%
Avg. Days on Market 25 19 🔺 31.6%
Sales to New Listings Ratio 29.7% 41.9% 🔻 29.1%

Buyers are exercising patience, waiting for potential rate cuts. The surge in listings provides plenty of choice, putting downward pressure on prices and giving buyers room to negotiate.

Detached Homes 🏡

Region Sales YoY Change Avg Price Price Change
416 728 🔻 2.2% $1,700,710 🔻 6.8%
905 1,828 🔻 27.5% $1,324,280 🔻 6.9%

While detached homes in the 416 held relatively steady in sales, the 905 saw significant cooling, likely driven by affordability limits and rate sensitivity.

Semi-Detached Homes 🏘️

Region Sales YoY Change Avg Price Price Change
416 253 🔺 5.4% $1,266,322 🔻 7.2%
905 312 🔻 19.6% $944,934 🔻 5.0%

A rare win for the 416: semi-detached sales rose, possibly due to demand for affordable low-rise options in urban centres. Prices, however, slid in both regions.

Townhouses🏣

Region Sales YoY Change Avg Price Price Change
416 205 🔻 22.1% $1,018,449 🔺 0.7%
905 778 🔻 23.1% $884,746 🔻 5.2%

Townhouses continue to be a popular entry point for families. While sales dropped across the board, prices in the 416 edged up—signaling steady demand within the core.

Condos 🏢

Region Sales YoY Change Avg Price Price Change
416 925 🔻 29.96% $710,724 🔻 7.3%
905 505 🔻 31.5% $618,196 🔻 6.1%

Condos saw the steepest drop in sales and prices, especially in the 905. Overbuilding and hesitant investors may be cooling this segment for now.

📌Final Thoughts & Advice

For Buyers:

✅ Take advantage of high inventory and softening prices
✅ Lock in purchases before potential interest rate cuts push demand back up
✅ Focus on negotiating power, especially in the condo and detached segments

For Sellers:

⚠️ Be realistic with pricing—especially in the 905
⚠️ Highlight unique property features to stand out in a competitive market
⚠️ Prepare for longer time on market and ensure showings are optimized

This website may only be used by consumers that have a bona fide interest in the purchase, sale, or lease of real estate of the type being offered via the website. The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of the PropTx MLS®. The data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed to be accurate.